I dont disagree with the points you are making, but the overall point that I was making is that the share price does not dictate what is going to occur on the call.

If anything it represents the absense of a unified opinion of what is going to occur.

If the "market" thought it was going to be a nothingburger there would be selling occuring. What we are seeing is the vast majority of longs and shorts in a holding pattern.