(Total Views: 156)
Posted On: 05/19/2020 1:50:56 PM
Post# of 126930
Re: energy_wave #38544
Spoiler alert.....from your own article. Why wasn't it in your quote, at the beginning, from the f*ckin' get go?
It merits emphasis from the get-go that this relationship is obviously not directly causal. The inauguration of Kentucky’s new Democratic governor on December 10, 2019 did not triple the state’s subsequent mortality from the coronavirus relative to what it would have been had Republican incumbent Matt Bevin been reelected.
Also, the story in not over.
Lastly, a simple knowledge of population density and extent of public transportation would reveal, to those who have that knowledge, that the cities that have those characteristics are suffering the most. They are almost all in Dem states.
https://www.vox.com/2020/4/7/21205890/coronav...california
How California has avoided an explosion of coronavirus cases
There are other factors at play in the differences between the two states. One is the density of their largest cities: New York City is the densest city in the US (though San Francisco is second), and a lot of people packed closely together makes it easier for the coronavirus to spread. New York City also has higher rates of public transportation use than any other big city in the US, which could have helped spread the virus in public settings.
And New York state has tested people at more than four times the rate of California, which could partly, though not mostly, explain the difference between both states’ reported cases and deaths.
A big factor — perhaps the biggest — is also chance. “There’s the possibility that there were just more introductions of the virus in the East Coast, in the New York area,” Jeffrey Martin, an epidemiologist at the University of California San Francisco, told me.
It merits emphasis from the get-go that this relationship is obviously not directly causal. The inauguration of Kentucky’s new Democratic governor on December 10, 2019 did not triple the state’s subsequent mortality from the coronavirus relative to what it would have been had Republican incumbent Matt Bevin been reelected.
Also, the story in not over.
Lastly, a simple knowledge of population density and extent of public transportation would reveal, to those who have that knowledge, that the cities that have those characteristics are suffering the most. They are almost all in Dem states.
https://www.vox.com/2020/4/7/21205890/coronav...california
How California has avoided an explosion of coronavirus cases
There are other factors at play in the differences between the two states. One is the density of their largest cities: New York City is the densest city in the US (though San Francisco is second), and a lot of people packed closely together makes it easier for the coronavirus to spread. New York City also has higher rates of public transportation use than any other big city in the US, which could have helped spread the virus in public settings.
And New York state has tested people at more than four times the rate of California, which could partly, though not mostly, explain the difference between both states’ reported cases and deaths.
A big factor — perhaps the biggest — is also chance. “There’s the possibility that there were just more introductions of the virus in the East Coast, in the New York area,” Jeffrey Martin, an epidemiologist at the University of California San Francisco, told me.
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