(Total Views: 445)
Posted On: 08/25/2019 10:35:34 AM
Post# of 154703
Re: HHIGambler #6641
FS group and A17 reminds me of the Monty Hall problem, which surprises people.
Similar to let’s make a deal, 3 doors, one with a car, two with a goat. You select a door, they then open up one showing you a goat and ask if you should switch. Most people at this point believe you odds went up from 33% to 50%. But they never changed, still 33% chance if you stay, at this point it is better to switch doors
Why? Because they are always going to show you the goat.
FS and A17, etc, will always show us the goat. There conversation adds very little to nothing right now.
Unlike say, Fortuno, I learned something new just this morning.
Similar to let’s make a deal, 3 doors, one with a car, two with a goat. You select a door, they then open up one showing you a goat and ask if you should switch. Most people at this point believe you odds went up from 33% to 50%. But they never changed, still 33% chance if you stay, at this point it is better to switch doors
Why? Because they are always going to show you the goat.
FS and A17, etc, will always show us the goat. There conversation adds very little to nothing right now.
Unlike say, Fortuno, I learned something new just this morning.
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