You are correct. I am not a fortune teller. That's why I used the following terms in my post: "will likely", "almost never", "vast majority", "I would", "i think".

I don't claim to "know" anything. I tried to do some DD on licensing royalty terms and turned up that link. I drew some conclusions from it and similar materials.

I thought Mo's theory was spot on though the numbers were overly optimistic with regard to the royalty percentage and overall values. People can draw whatever conclusions they want if they haven't seen that report yet.