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As of November 5, 12:06AM EDT:

Snapshot (216 state polls): Clinton 312, Trump 226 EV Meta-margin: Clinton +2.6%

Clinton Nov. win probability: random drift 98%, Bayesian >99%

Senate snapshot (48 polls): Dem+Ind: 50, GOP: 50, Meta-margin: D +0.8%, Nov. control probability: Dem. 78%

Sam Wang
✔ ‎@SamWangPhD

It is totally over. If Trump wins more than 240 electoral votes, I will eat a bug. https://twitter.com/nicolas_veron/status/788538663760121857 …

7:55 PM - 18 Oct 2016

http://election.princeton.edu/

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