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Political Debate Board
Posted On: 10/12/2016 12:56:28 AM
Post# of 65629
Posted By: Bhawks
Quote:
Nate Silver: The Presidential Election is "starting to look like a blowout"

Nate Silver posted an article tonight about the gender gap that is taking shape in the presidential election. Its quite interesting, where he shows that Trump is +5 with men (Romney won men by +7) but women are backing Clinton by +15 (Obama won women by + 8) .

At the end of the article he says:

"That’s the difference between a close election — as you’ll remember, those national polls in late 2012 showed the race neck-and-neck— and one that’s starting to look like a blowout."

Nate Silver is usually quite conservative (as in cautious) and often takes an "anything can happen" approach. But 538, like many in the media seem to be very comfortable with saying that Trump's chances of winning are somewhere between abysmal and non-existent.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-...ald-trump/


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