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Early polls and focus groups suggest Hillary Clinton won the debate

Updated by • Andrew Prokop •Sep 27, 2016, 10:34a

It will be a few more days before we get methodologically rigorous polls measuring how the electorate felt about the first presidential debate.

The indicators we have so far are necessarily incomplete and limited — they’re focus groups of tiny, hand-picked samples of undecided voters, polls of people who watched the debate rather than the electorate at large, and plain punditry.

Still, what we have so far points toward a Hillary Clinton victory.

We’ve got:

•A poll of debate watchers by CNN/ORC, which found that 62 percent thought Clinton won and 27 percent thought Trump did.

CNN’s David Chalian emphasized on air that the sample was 10 points more Democratic than in a typical poll, but that’s still a strong win for Clinton.

•A poll of debate watchers by Public Policy Polling, which found that 51 percent thought Clinton won and 40 percent thought Trump won.

•A focus group of 20 undecided Florida voters by CNN found that 18 of them thought Clinton won.

•And a focus group of Pennsylvania voters by GOP pollster Frank Luntz overwhelmingly thought Clinton had won. Libby Nelson has more details about that here.

http://www.vox.com/2016/9/27/13069088/hillary...ial-debate

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