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the Republican party will unite with Trump and that equals 55%...

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Not sure how you cobble together 55%. I have no idea what Trump's appeal would be to Independent voters, but I don't see him getting more than half of those votes. That won't be enough.

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Politics
January 11, 2016

Democratic, Republican Identification Near Historical Lows

by Jeffrey M. Jones

Story Highlights

•42% identify as independents, 29% as Democrats, 26% as Republicans
•Independent identification at least 40% for fifth consecutive year
•Democrats maintain edge over GOP in party identification and leaning

PRINCETON, N.J. -- In 2015, for the fifth consecutive year, at least four in 10 U.S. adults identified as political independents. The 42% identifying as independents in 2015 was down slightly from the record 43% in 2014. This elevated percentage of political independents leaves Democratic (29%) and Republican (26%) identification at or near recent low points, with the modest Democratic advantage roughly where it has been over the past five years.

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