The numbers I plugged into my customizable spreadsheet are numbers that have not yet been proven, but I believe will be. That's how investing works. You make your best guess on what can and will happen in the future. Personally, I find it bad form to blame others for one's own losing trades... particularly if he or she usually takes the credit for their winners.

I think you should read the NAWTEC report. He details all of the hurdles he has faced with his technology. They have had to innovate and troubleshoot every step of the way, but now they have a processor robust enough to market. It has been a learning experience.

Viable Production of Diesel From Non-Recyclable Waste Plastics
http://www.plastic2oil.com/site/nawtec-paper