Posted On: 04/27/2014 2:34:49 PM
Post# of 56323
I'm also not a number guy - that would be one of my roommates. When Bill spoke in previous interviews he made projections for 80% profit on each block of revenue after expenses. Now I actually prefer the 60% assumption as a more conservative approach because it more accurately considers what taxes may be placed upon the business. If you'd rather though, what you can do is make a projection between the two, but assume the lowest number is correct.
@through privateequityguru's calculations we can expand.
Realistically 100,000 lbs would be 1/13th of total allowable growth and sales.
That was mentioned to be $2,500 / lb so $250,000,000.00
Let's retain that 25X P/E ratio.
60% - $1.07 pps. at P/E where Earnings are $150,000,000.00
80% - $1.42 pps. at P/E where Earnings are $200,000,000.00
Also....we have no clue when Bill and FITX will begin the "share buyback and retirement" which Bill has mentioned in the past.
Now - consider priavteequityguru's as a more formal breakdown and consider the 80% prediction as the "hypothetical" because that figure won't be realistic until the business is in full swing and expenses and earnings are weighed against one another through practical comparison.
@through privateequityguru's calculations we can expand.
Realistically 100,000 lbs would be 1/13th of total allowable growth and sales.
That was mentioned to be $2,500 / lb so $250,000,000.00
Let's retain that 25X P/E ratio.
60% - $1.07 pps. at P/E where Earnings are $150,000,000.00
80% - $1.42 pps. at P/E where Earnings are $200,000,000.00
Also....we have no clue when Bill and FITX will begin the "share buyback and retirement" which Bill has mentioned in the past.
Now - consider priavteequityguru's as a more formal breakdown and consider the 80% prediction as the "hypothetical" because that figure won't be realistic until the business is in full swing and expenses and earnings are weighed against one another through practical comparison.


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