Posted On: 02/11/2014 3:29:22 PM
Post# of 17862
Did a little math. I calculated total shares sold to date since the end of the last reported quarter to date (Oct 1st to Feb 11th). Approx. 10 billion. Assuming the majority of these are dilutive, say 7-8 billion, I think its fair to guess that the current O/S may be around 16-17 billion (high end). For a market cap of $3.4 million @ 0.0002. This is not bad as the market cap for this company has been around and above this range before, but we are in a far better position then ever before.
Assuming the company is able to buy back and retire 3 billion shares in phase 1, this would put the market cap to around $2.5 million and leave 5+ billion shares for future dilution/financing.
If the company were somehow able to announce the buy back completion, produce production pics, and announce its first revenue all in a short period, then let it run without any further dilution for some time, I think we could easily break into and maintain the dubs and a market cap of over 20 million. Then the company could slowly start diluting the 5billion remaining shares ($5-10 million, assuming they diluted smartly and could maintain the dubs) to raise money and expedite the building of the tigerlink to ensure it does hit the lake by the end of the year. Then this is where it would truly get exciting and the true growth potential takes place, when the tigerlink is on display for all to see and the business model has been proven. Concessions will be much easier to negotiate (at higher rates and less upfront) and I would not be surprised to see several more deals finalized by the end of this year and into 2015, enough to substain and grow the company into the foreseeable future.
This is what I and I think all of us are hoping for. However, I am sure this will probably take much longer then we expect and it may get worse before it gets better. For Hollund, its a bit of a double edged sword - keeping investors in the dark, inorder to do what they feel is best long term for the Company and PPS. If you deceive (or simply withhold information for too long) and lose trust with your shareholders, many of them will want to get out ASAP and this could kill future runs before they even happen.
Assuming the company is able to buy back and retire 3 billion shares in phase 1, this would put the market cap to around $2.5 million and leave 5+ billion shares for future dilution/financing.
If the company were somehow able to announce the buy back completion, produce production pics, and announce its first revenue all in a short period, then let it run without any further dilution for some time, I think we could easily break into and maintain the dubs and a market cap of over 20 million. Then the company could slowly start diluting the 5billion remaining shares ($5-10 million, assuming they diluted smartly and could maintain the dubs) to raise money and expedite the building of the tigerlink to ensure it does hit the lake by the end of the year. Then this is where it would truly get exciting and the true growth potential takes place, when the tigerlink is on display for all to see and the business model has been proven. Concessions will be much easier to negotiate (at higher rates and less upfront) and I would not be surprised to see several more deals finalized by the end of this year and into 2015, enough to substain and grow the company into the foreseeable future.
This is what I and I think all of us are hoping for. However, I am sure this will probably take much longer then we expect and it may get worse before it gets better. For Hollund, its a bit of a double edged sword - keeping investors in the dark, inorder to do what they feel is best long term for the Company and PPS. If you deceive (or simply withhold information for too long) and lose trust with your shareholders, many of them will want to get out ASAP and this could kill future runs before they even happen.
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