Milliman's Latest Pension Buyout Index Sees Spike in Costs

Milliman Reports Increased Pension Risk Transfer Costs

Milliman, Inc., a leading global consulting and actuarial firm, has revealed the recent findings of its Milliman Pension Buyout Index (MPBI). In the month of December, the estimated cost of transferring retiree pension risk to an insurer through competitive bidding rose slightly from 101.2% to 101.4% of the plan’s accounting liabilities, known as the accumulated benefit obligation (ABO). This indicates that the estimated cost of retiree Pension Risk Transfers (PRT) now stands at 101.4% of the plan's ABO. Alongside this, the average cost of annuities purchased from various insurers also saw a modest increase, rising from 103.9% to 104.0%. Notably, plan sponsors could save approximately 2.6% in PRT costs as of December 31 through engaging in competitive bidding.

Insights from Milliman Experts

Jake Pringle, a principal at Milliman and co-author of the MPBI, shares insights regarding the current landscape. He indicates that retiree buyout costs are entering 2025 with minimal change compared to the end of 2024. He notes, "Increases in annuity purchase rates have kept pace with the fluctuations in accounting discount rates." Following a relatively quiet fourth quarter, there is now a significant volume of activity expected for January and February concerning PRT deals. With the arrival of a new player in the market, insurer capacity remains robust, which is promising news for plan sponsors aiming to mitigate risks associated with PRTs.

Understanding the MPBI Methodology

The Milliman Pension Buyout Index employs the FTSE Above Median AA Curve along with annuity purchase composite interest rates sourced from nine different insurers. This comprehensive approach enables the estimation of both competitive and average costs associated with a PRT annuity de-risking strategy. However, it is essential to note that the actual costs for individual plan annuity buyouts can greatly vary, influenced by aspects such as the size and complexity of the plan and the competitive landscape within the market.

Current Market Conditions

The uptick in pension risk transfer costs may reflect underlying economic trends and changes within the broader financial environment. Higher interest rates can lead to increased annuity purchase costs, while shifting market dynamics continue to affect how plans are managed. For plan sponsors, this situation emphasizes the importance of remaining informed and proactive as they consider de-risking strategies, particularly in a landscape where interest rates and investment returns are continuously fluctuating.

Benefits of Competitive Bidding

Competitive bidding for PRT transactions often yields significant benefits for plan sponsors. By engaging multiple insurers in the bidding process, sponsors can create a competitive atmosphere that encourages more favorable quotes and offers. This strategy not only enhances cost-effectiveness but also opens up opportunities to negotiate better terms and conditions that align with the financial goals of the plan. Studies have shown that through rigorous competitive bidding processes, sponsors may achieve substantial savings, such as the 2.6% observed in the latest Milliman report.

About Milliman

Founded in 1947, Milliman has established itself as a trusted independent firm catering to both public and private sector clients. By harnessing extensive expertise, actuarial precision, and cutting-edge technology, Milliman develops effective solutions that address complex challenges in today’s world. This includes helping organizations navigate uncertainties such as extreme weather events, market fluctuations, financial insecurities, and increasing healthcare costs. Their comprehensive services cover a wide array of sectors including insurance, financial services, healthcare, life sciences, and employee benefits. For more insights and updates, clients and interested parties may visit Milliman's official website.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the latest Milliman Pension Buyout Index reveal?

The latest index indicates that the estimated cost to transfer pension risk to insurers has increased slightly to 101.4% of a plan’s accounting liabilities.

How does competitive bidding impact pension risk transfer costs?

Engaging in competitive bidding can lead to significant savings, as it encourages insurers to provide better quotes and offers, improving cost-effectiveness.

What factors influence individual pension buyout costs?

Costs can vary based on the size and complexity of the pension plan, as well as the competitive environment within which insurers operate.

What is the role of interest rates in pension risk transfers?

Interest rates significantly affect annuity purchase costs, thereby impacting the overall pricing of pension risk transfer transactions.

Why should sponsors consider de-risking strategies now?

With fluctuating economic conditions, exploring de-risking strategies allows plan sponsors to mitigate financial risks and stabilize their pension obligations effectively.

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