Manitoba Construction Sector: Forecasting Growth to 2034

Understanding Manitoba's Construction Sector Growth
Manitoba's construction industry has shown promising growth patterns as it transitions into a new phase. A recent report outlines that the province's construction activities are likely to grow significantly by 2034. This positive trend comes as a breath of fresh air, following a slight dip in residential investments in recent years due to fluctuating interest rates.
Recent Trends in Construction Activities
During the past year, the non-residential sector in Manitoba demonstrated resilience, powering through minor contractions in the residential sector. Factors contributing to this upward swing include a robust pipeline of projects related to utilities, healthcare, education, and commercial developments. These include various infrastructure projects such as roads, highways, and bridges that are vital to the province's growth.
Residential Sector Outlook
Looking ahead, the residential sector is set to rebound as interest rates begin to decline, creating favorable conditions for new housing investments. By 2028, a surge in new housing developments is anticipated. After that, renovations are expected to lead the charge in residential investments, ensuring a steady growth trajectory.
Non-Residential Sector Projections
In parallel, the non-residential construction sector is projected to thrive on a diverse range of projects, covering utilities and various building types. The accumulation of these investments will lead to a notable increase in employment opportunities in the construction industry. By the end of the forecast period in 2034, the sector is expected to witness nearly a 26% increase in employment compared to current levels.
Employment Growth and Challenges
With the anticipated growth in construction activity, employment across the sector is projected to experience substantial growth. It is estimated that approximately 19,400 new workers will be needed to keep pace with rising demands, alongside the expected retirement of nearly 9,800 workers, representing 21% of the current workforce. The retirement wave combined with rising project demands may create challenges in maintaining adequate labor supply.
Youth Influx into the Workforce
One advantage Manitoba has is its relatively young population. This demographic characteristic bodes well for the construction sector as it seeks to attract young entrants. It is projected that around 11,500 workers under the age of 30 will join the industry by 2034, reducing the labor shortage gap significantly. However, it is crucial to implement recruitment and retention strategies to ensure this young workforce feels welcomed and engaged.
Diversity and Inclusion in Construction
Emphasizing recruitment from diverse backgrounds is essential for a dynamic workforce. Efforts to recruit women, Indigenous Peoples, and newcomers to Canada have gained momentum in the industry. In 2024, 49% of women in Manitoba's construction sector worked directly on-site, significantly contributing to efforts to diversify and strengthen the workforce. Additionally, Indigenous Peoples accounted for 17.7% of the construction workforce, marking the highest participation in history.
Future Recruitment Strategies
As Manitoba braces for the influx of new immigrants, estimated at around 231,300 individuals between 2025 and 2034, this demographic will play a key role in sustaining future labor force needs. A consolidated effort towards increasing the participation rates of underrepresented groups will be critical in meeting anticipated sector demands.
To further transition into the next phase of construction growth, strategies will focus on effective recruitment and retention, ensuring the industry not only attracts new talent but also fosters a vibrant workforce that reflects the province's diversity.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the projected growth rate in Manitoba's construction industry?
Manitoba's construction industry is expected to see substantial growth, particularly in non-residential sectors, with overall employment projected to increase significantly by 2034.
How will interest rates impact residential construction in Manitoba?
Declining interest rates are expected to boost investments in new residential housing projects starting in 2028, following a period of contraction.
What challenges does the construction industry face regarding workforce?
The industry may face labor shortages due to upcoming retirements and increasing project demands, requiring effective recruitment strategies to address these challenges.
What role does diversity play in the construction sector?
Diversity is key to building a healthy workforce. Efforts to recruit women, Indigenous Peoples, and newcomers are essential for creating an inclusive environment in the construction field.
How can the industry prepare for incoming immigrants?
Developing targeted strategies for recruitment and providing welcoming environments will be crucial to integrating new immigrants into Manitoba's construction sector.
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